Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 2.447436 2.675300 2.919679 3.202055 3.520325 3.869077 4.281674
2025-11-09 2.060986 2.359666 2.699742 3.118427 3.623879 4.219308 4.981150
2025-11-16 1.830176 2.165315 2.563623 3.077384 3.730529 4.544233 5.652465
2025-11-23 1.673078 2.031550 2.472440 3.063089 3.846891 4.870803 6.343127
2025-11-30 1.588923 1.974633 2.463870 3.142380 4.079391 5.359689 7.300110
2025-12-07 1.482318 1.876913 2.390095 3.122378 4.167869 5.651946 8.006171
2025-12-14 1.386067 1.783676 2.312162 3.085436 4.222717 5.893820 8.658595
2025-12-21 1.277007 1.664697 2.189075 2.972084 4.152008 5.936143 8.994425
2025-12-28 1.220718 1.613791 2.155671 2.983101 4.264115 6.264562 9.835491
2026-01-04 1.177654 1.577978 2.140090 3.017310 4.412031 6.661236 10.844826
2026-01-11 1.140338 1.547539 2.129361 3.056462 4.568918 7.086066 11.963950
2026-01-18 1.105636 1.518435 2.118013 3.092489 4.721944 7.518036 13.160244
2026-01-25 1.066682 1.481804 2.094367 3.109280 4.847963 7.923578 14.388951
2026-02-01 1.007172 1.411303 2.014852 3.029639 4.800891 8.009256 14.975580
2026-02-08 0.962077 1.360226 1.962288 2.990215 4.819969 8.218704 15.859911
2026-02-15 0.926320 1.321559 1.926804 2.976454 4.882968 8.517993 16.996004
2026-02-22 0.912592 1.316193 1.943716 3.052881 5.117969 9.184993 19.120211
2026-03-01 0.879995 1.279427 1.907526 3.033605 5.169696 9.481873 20.401503
2026-03-08 0.846391 1.239486 1.863944 2.997999 5.186166 9.705170 21.539145
2026-03-15 0.800781 1.178380 1.782335 2.888718 5.048292 9.578183 21.719195
2026-03-22 0.780449 1.157393 1.766949 2.899342 5.151503 9.997384 23.494364
2026-03-29 0.765314 1.144171 1.763904 2.932325 5.302869 10.544746 25.770136
2026-04-05 0.751776 1.132932 1.763548 2.970069 5.467252 11.144161 28.361861